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RCB vs GT Prediction Today

RCB vs GT Prediction Today – IPL 2026 Final, 31 May 2026 | Ahmedabad

Five days ago, Royal Challengers Bengaluru buried Gujarat Titans by 92 runs in Dharamsala. Rajat Patidar’s 93 off 33 was freakish, Bhuvneshwar Kumar was unplayable, and the scoreline — RCB 254/5, GT 162 all out — looked like an execution rather than a match.

Sunday Night, at the Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad, those same two teams meet again. Except this time, the venue is GT’s home fortress — the ground where Shubman Gill has scored over 900 runs at an average of 65 in IPL cricket. The ground where GT have won 17 of 29 home matches. The ground where, on Friday night, Gill walked off with 104 off 53 balls after chasing down 215 to beat Rajasthan Royals by seven wickets, booking this rematch nobody saw coming in March. This is the IPL 2026 Final. Two weeks ago, nobody would have picked GT to be here after their Qualifier 1 humiliation. But here they are — revenge, home ground, and the most in-form opening pair in the tournament on their side. This is not the same match as Dharamshala. Not even close.

RCB vs GT IPL 2026 Final Winning Percentage

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Royal Challengers Bengaluru
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Gujarat Titans
Match: IPL 2026 Final
Teams: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
Venue: Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Date & Time: 31 May 2026 — 7:30 PM IST (2:00 PM GMT)
Live TV: Star Sports 1, Star Sports 1 HD, Star Sports Hindi
Live Stream: JioHotStar App & Website
Stakes: IPL 2026 Champions — the biggest night in Indian T20 cricket
RCB Winning Chances: 40%
GT Winning Chances: 60%

Why This Final Is Different from Qualifier 1

The Qualifier 1 scoreline tells one story. The match context tells another. In Dharamsala, GT batted first on an altitude-assisted surface they had never played at before — their first match ever at the HPCA Stadium. Patidar’s 93 off 33 balls was the highest-scoring innings by anyone in an IPL playoff match in history. RCB posted 254/5 — the highest total ever in an IPL playoff match.

That game produced a perfect storm for RCB and a nightmare for GT. Tonight’s conditions are nothing like Dharamsala. Ahmedabad’s Narendra Modi Stadium averages 175–195 in first innings. It rewards spinners in the middle overs. It suits GT’s bowling and batting down to the ground — literally.

Context matters. Don’t carry the 92-run scoreline into your analysis of tonight.

Narendra Modi Stadium Pitch Report – Ahmedabad, IPL 2026 Final

Batting or Bowling First — What the Data Says

The Narendra Modi Stadium is a more complex batting surface than New Chandigarh or Dharamsala. The average first-innings score has hovered around 195 in IPL 2026, and the choice of soil matters: red soil produces high-scoring games, while black soil brings spinners like Rashid Khan into the equation from early in the innings.

This is a much more balanced surface than the pitch GT chased 215 on in the Qualifier 2. Spinners — particularly leg-spinners like Rashid Khan — find plenty of purchase in the middle overs due to the large dimensions, forcing batters to take risks. In a 7:30 PM start, dew can be a factor, but Ahmedabad’s dew is less pronounced and more variable than the Punjab venues.

Critically, Gujarat Titans have played 25 matches at the Narendra Modi Stadium, winning 14 and losing 11 — a solid home record. Shubman Gill is the undisputed king of this venue, having scored over 900 runs at an average of 65.40 here, the most by any batter in Ahmedabad IPL history.

A par score of 185–200 is the target at this venue in 2026. Teams posting 200+ at Narendra Modi Stadium have won a high proportion of matches this season.

Dew Factor and Toss Prediction

Dew is a factor at Ahmedabad, but it is more nuanced than purely favouring the chasing side — batting first win rate was 5 of 6 matches at this venue in IPL 2025, showing the conditions can swing either way depending on the total posted.

Unlike New Chandigarh where chasing was clearly correct, Ahmedabad is a genuine 50-50 on toss strategy. If GT win the toss, Gill may back his batting unit to set an imposing total and back Rashid to exploit the dry surface in the middle overs. If RCB win the toss, Patidar could opt to bowl and use Bhuvneshwar’s new-ball swing while gunning down a target under lights.

Toss prediction: Genuinely balanced. Both options are defensible — the team composition favours GT batting first to exploit the drier surface for Rashid Khan.

Weather: Hot and dry. Daytime highs in Ahmedabad touch 38–42°C, cooling to around 28–32°C by match time. No rain threat, ensuring a full 40-over contest. Slight dew from the second innings onwards.

RCB vs GT Head-to-Head Record – Complete IPL History

Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Rivalry Stats & Historical Results

All-Time Head-to-Head Record (Updated After Qualifier 1, IPL 2026)

SeasonDateVenueResultKey Performance
IPL 2022 (Match 1)30 Apr 2022Brabourne, MumbaiGT won by 6 wkts — GT 174/4 def RCB 170/6Rahul Tewatia late fireworks
IPL 2022 (Match 2)19 May 2022Wankhede, MumbaiRCB won by 8 wkts — RCB 169/2 def GT 168RCB dominant chase
IPL 202319 May 2023M Chinnaswamy, BengaluruGT won by 6 wkts — GT chased 197Shubman Gill 104* off 52 balls
IPL 2024 (Match 1)28 Apr 2024AhmedabadRCB won by 9 wkts — RCB chased 200 in 16 oversWill Jacks 100 off 41 balls
IPL 2024 (Match 2)4 May 2024M Chinnaswamy, BengaluruRCB won by 4 wkts — GT bowled out 147RCB bowling dominance
IPL 20252 Apr 2025M Chinnaswamy, BengaluruGT won by 8 wkts — GT chased 170 in 17.5 oversMohammed Siraj 3/19 vs former franchise
IPL 2026 (Match 34)24 Apr 2026M Chinnaswamy, BengaluruRCB won by 5 wkts — RCB 206/5 def GT 205/3Virat Kohli 81 off 44
IPL 2026 (Match 42)30 Apr 2026Narendra Modi Stadium, AhmedabadGT won by 4 wkts — GT 158/6 def RCB 155Jason Holder 2/29 + 3 catches
IPL 2026 (Qualifier 1)26 May 2026HPCA Stadium, DharamsalaRCB won by 92 runs — RCB 254/5, GT 162Rajat Patidar 93 off 33
Key Patterns from the H2H Data:

• Home advantage has played a major role throughout this rivalry. In four matches at Chinnaswamy Stadium, both teams have won two each. In Ahmedabad, both sides have registered one victory apiece.

• Qualifier 1 in IPL 2026 was the biggest statistical outlier. RCB’s 254/5 became the highest total ever recorded in an IPL playoff match. GT were also playing their first-ever IPL game in Dharamsala.

• The IPL 2026 Final returns to Ahmedabad, GT’s home venue. RCB’s only victory there came through Will Jacks’ remarkable 41-ball century in IPL 2024, while GT won the most recent Ahmedabad clash earlier this season.

• Mohammed Siraj, now representing GT, remains one of the leading wicket-takers in this rivalry and has taken wickets for both franchises across different seasons.

IPL 2026 Season Meetings

DateMatchScoreResultPlayer of the Match
24 Apr 2026Match 34, BengaluruGT 205/3, RCB 206/5 (18.5 ov)RCB won by 5 wktsVirat Kohli 81 off 44
30 Apr 2026Match 42, AhmedabadRCB 155 all out, GT 158/6 (15.5 ov)GT won by 4 wktsJason Holder 2/29 + 3 catches
26 May 2026Qualifier 1, DharamsalaRCB 254/5, GT 162 all outRCB won by 92 runsRajat Patidar 93 off 33
Overall Head-to-Head: RCB Lead GT 5-4

Royal Challengers Bengaluru – Form, Squad, and Key Players

RCB’s Road to the IPL 2026 Final

RCB finished the league stage first with 18 points and a superior NRR of 0.783, claiming the top seed ahead of GT’s 0.695. They then demolished GT by 92 runs in Qualifier 1 — the highest margin of victory in any IPL playoff match — booking their second consecutive final appearance. RCB are the defending champions looking to become only the third franchise in IPL history to win back-to-back titles, after Mumbai Indians (2019-2020) and Chennai Super Kings.

Their form has been outstanding: dominant home record, Bhuvneshwar Kumar in peak form, and a batting lineup built around Virat Kohli’s consistency and Rajat Patidar’s explosiveness. The only wobble was a last-over loss to SRH in their final league game — which they will treat as noise rather than signal.

RCB Predicted Playing XI – IPL 2026 Final

Based on the confirmed Qualifier 1 lineup and expected team combination for the IPL 2026 Final

Royal Challengers Bengaluru Predicted XI

#PlayerRole
1Virat KohliOpener
2Venkatesh IyerOpener
3Devdutt PadikkalTop Order Batter
4Rajat Patidar (c)Middle Order Batter
5Jitesh Sharma (wk)Middle Order Batter
6Tim DavidFinisher
7Krunal PandyaAll-Rounder
8Jacob DuffyPacer
9Bhuvneshwar KumarPacer
10Josh HazlewoodPacer
11Rasikh SalamPacer
12Romario Shepherd / Suyash SharmaImpact Substitute

RCB Players to Watch

Virat Kohli
Kohli has accumulated 600 runs from 15 matches in IPL 2026, including one century and four fifties at a strike rate of 164.38. He became the first batter in IPL history to score 600+ runs in four consecutive seasons. His recent 81 off 44 against Gujarat Titans highlights his dominance in this matchup. At Ahmedabad, Kohli’s ability to anchor the innings while maintaining an aggressive strike rate could be decisive.
Rajat Patidar
The RCB captain enters the final in exceptional form. His explosive 93 off 33 balls in Qualifier 1 featured nine sixes and five fours and powered RCB to a record playoff total of 254/5. Gujarat Titans are expected to target him early after costly fielding errors gave him opportunities in the previous meeting.
Bhuvneshwar Kumar
Leading the Purple Cap race with 26 wickets, Bhuvneshwar remains RCB’s most important bowling weapon. His ability to generate movement with the new ball makes him especially dangerous in Ahmedabad. The contest between Bhuvneshwar and Shubman Gill during the powerplay could heavily influence the outcome of the final.
Josh Hazlewood
Hazlewood continues to be one of RCB’s most reliable bowlers. His accuracy at the death and ability to trouble right-handed batters with bounce and pace make him a major threat against Gujarat Titans’ middle order, particularly in the final overs.
Strengths: Elite top-order batting, strong pace attack, and excellent recent form heading into the IPL 2026 Final.

Gujarat Titans – Form, Squad, and Key Players

GT’s Remarkable Journey to the IPL 2026 Final

This is the story of IPL 2026’s second half. A side that was written off after a 92-run Qualifier 1 humiliation went to New Chandigarh two days later and chased down 215 off Rajasthan Royals — the second-highest successful chase in any T20 knockout match in history — to book their place in the final.

Shubman Gill’s 104 off 53 balls, including 15 fours and 3 sixes — the fastest century by a GT player in IPL history — was the centrepiece. Sai Sudharsan contributed 58 off 32 balls before a bizarre hit-wicket dismissal. Their 167-run opening partnership was GT’s highest in IPL history, and it effectively ended the contest before the halfway mark of their chase.

GT have now qualified for three IPL finals in five seasons (2022 winners, 2023 finalists, 2026 finalists) and have never lost a final. They have also won the IPL final at the Narendra Modi Stadium before — their maiden title in 2022 against Rajasthan Royals.

GT Predicted Playing XI – IPL 2026 Final

Based on the confirmed Qualifier 2 lineup and expected Gujarat Titans combination for the IPL 2026 Final

Gujarat Titans Predicted XI

#PlayerRole
1Shubman Gill (c)Opener
2B Sai SudharsanOpener
3Jos Buttler (wk)Middle Order Batter
4Washington SundarAll-Rounder
5Jason HolderAll-Rounder
6Nishant SindhuBatter
7Rashid KhanLeg Spinner
8Rahul TewatiaFinisher
9Kagiso RabadaPacer
10Mohammed SirajPacer
11Kulwant Khejroliya / Prasidh KrishnaPacer
12Glenn Phillips / R Sai KishoreImpact Substitute

GT Players to Watch

Shubman Gill
Gill has scored 618 runs in IPL 2026 at a strike rate of 159.27 and added a magnificent century in Qualifier 2. He owns the most IPL runs at the Narendra Modi Stadium, averaging over 65 at the venue. Ahmedabad has become his fortress, and GT’s success is strongly linked to his performances at this ground.
B Sai Sudharsan
The Orange Cap leader has accumulated 652 runs in 15 matches with one century and seven fifties. His partnership with Gill has been the most reliable opening combination of IPL 2026, highlighted by their match-winning 167-run stand in Qualifier 2.
Kagiso Rabada
Rabada shares the Purple Cap lead with 26 wickets and has dominated powerplays throughout the season. His record-breaking wicket tally inside the first six overs makes him GT’s key weapon against Kohli, Padikkal and Venkatesh Iyer. Early breakthroughs could completely alter the direction of the final.
Rashid Khan
Rashid returns to his most successful IPL venue. The large boundaries and typically dry Ahmedabad surface perfectly suit his wrist spin. Against RCB’s right-handed middle order, he remains GT’s biggest X-factor and potentially the most influential bowler in the match.

Key Matchup Analysis – Where the IPL 2026 Title Could Be Decided

Bhuvneshwar Kumar vs Gill & Sudharsan – The Powerplay Battle
The opening phase may determine the entire match. Bhuvneshwar’s ability to swing the new ball against Gill and Sudharsan will be critical. GT’s openers failed in Qualifier 1, but Ahmedabad offers a completely different environment. If the opening pair survives the first few overs, GT’s batting platform becomes significantly stronger.

On the other side, Venkatesh Iyer’s aggressive intent gives RCB early momentum. Rabada’s battle against Iyer and Kohli could be equally decisive in setting the tone of the final.
Rashid Khan vs Kohli & Patidar – Middle Overs Showdown
This is arguably the most important contest of the match. Rashid’s combination of leg-spin and googlies against Kohli and Patidar on a spin-friendly Ahmedabad surface could dictate the scoring rate. If GT can use Rashid to remove Patidar before he settles, RCB’s middle-order momentum may be significantly reduced.
The Drop Catch Problem – GT’s Biggest Concern
Qualifier 1 exposed GT’s fielding issues as Rajat Patidar survived multiple chances before producing a match-defining innings. In a final where margins are often extremely small, every catching opportunity becomes crucial. Gujarat Titans will need a flawless fielding performance if they want to lift the IPL 2026 trophy.
GT Strengths: Elite opening partnership, world-class pace attack, Rashid Khan’s middle-over control, and home-ground advantage at Ahmedabad.

RCB vs GT Toss Prediction and Its Impact

Ahmedabad’s Narendra Modi Stadium is genuinely balanced on toss strategy — unlike New Chandigarh where chasing was clearly advantageous. In IPL 2026 at this venue, captains have largely opted to bowl first due to the dew advantage, but the data from IPL 2025 shows batting first won 5 of 6 matches at Ahmedabad — showing conditions can swing either way.

GT’s ideal scenario: win the toss, bat first, post 195-210, and hand Rashid Khan a dry spinning surface in the middle overs when RCB chase. Their spin-heavy middle attack — Rashid, Washington Sundar — is more effective in the first half of the chasing innings on a drying track.

RCB’s ideal scenario: bat first, use the early Bhuvneshwar swing to dismiss GT’s openers, and back their explosive batting depth to post 220+.

Toss call: Expect GT to bat first if they win the toss — backing Rashid Khan on a dry surface is a match winning strategy at this venue. If RCB win the toss, they face a harder decision.

RCB vs GT Final Match Prediction – IPL 2026

Key factors, matchup analysis, and final prediction for the IPL 2026 Championship Match

Factors Favouring Royal Challengers Bengaluru

  • Defending Champions with Momentum: RCB defeated GT by 92 runs in Qualifier 1 just five days earlier, delivering one of the strongest statements of the season.
  • Elite Bowling Attack: Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Josh Hazlewood, and Rasikh Salam provide experience, variety, and control in high-pressure situations.
  • Back-to-Back Title Opportunity: Consecutive IPL titles are extremely rare. RCB possess both the quality and belief required to join the select list of repeat champions.
  • Rajat Patidar’s Form: His explosive 93 off 33 balls in Qualifier 1 puts immense pressure on GT’s bowlers and fielders heading into the final.
  • Strong Away Record: Despite facing a huge Ahmedabad crowd, RCB have consistently delivered strong performances away from home throughout IPL 2026.

Factors Favouring Gujarat Titans

  • Home Ground Advantage: Narendra Modi Stadium has been GT’s strongest venue. Shubman Gill’s remarkable record at Ahmedabad makes this a significant factor.
  • Big-Match Experience: GT won the IPL title in 2022 and reached another final in 2023, giving the franchise strong knockout credentials.
  • Qualifier 2 Momentum: Their successful chase of 215 in a knockout match restored confidence after the heavy defeat in Qualifier 1.
  • Rashid Khan Conditions: A dry Ahmedabad surface perfectly suits Rashid Khan’s bowling style and could prove decisive during the middle overs.
  • Motivation and Response: The memory of a 92-run defeat provides extra motivation for a team now playing a final in front of its home supporters.
  • Improved Fielding Focus: GT’s dropped catches in Qualifier 1 proved costly. The final presents an opportunity to correct those mistakes.
The Verdict – IPL 2026 Final Prediction
Home advantage remains one of the most powerful influences in cricket, and no player understands the Narendra Modi Stadium better than Shubman Gill. His exceptional record at Ahmedabad gives Gujarat Titans a significant edge in familiar conditions.

Another crucial factor is Rashid Khan operating on a dry Ahmedabad pitch during the middle overs. This specific matchup against RCB’s middle order could become the defining phase of the contest.

GT’s Qualifier 2 comeback also changed the narrative of their campaign. Successfully chasing 215 in a knockout match demonstrated resilience and removed any concerns about confidence after the Qualifier 1 defeat.

RCB arguably enter the final with the stronger season-long body of work and the psychological advantage of a recent 92-run victory. However, finals often depend on venue familiarity, crowd support, and key matchups rather than overall season statistics.

The toss could significantly influence the prediction. If GT bat first and post a score around 195 or more, their chances improve considerably. Conversely, an early dismissal of Gill inside the powerplay would swing momentum toward RCB.
🏆 Predicted IPL 2026 Champions: Gujarat Titans
Confidence Level: 55% GT • 45% RCB

RCB vs GT IPL 2026 Final – Betting Tips & Fantasy Picks

Match Predictions, Player Props, Fantasy Team Picks & Live Streaming Details
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Match Winner Tip

Pick: Gujarat Titans to Win (Slight Edge)
GT enter the final with strong home-ground advantages, Shubman Gill’s exceptional Ahmedabad record, and Rashid Khan operating in ideal spin-friendly conditions. The motivation of avenging a 92-run defeat in Qualifier 1 adds another layer to their preparation.

However, RCB remain a genuine threat. If Bhuvneshwar Kumar can remove Gill or Sudharsan early, the balance of the match could swing quickly. Monitoring the toss and powerplay phase remains crucial.

Toss Winner Tip

Pick: Toss Winner to Bat First
Ahmedabad generally rewards teams that post large first-innings totals. A score around 195+ allows spinners to exploit a surface that tends to slow down later in the game. Whichever captain wins the toss may prefer to set a target and apply scoreboard pressure.

Player Prop Tips

Prop BetPickReasoning
Top RCB BatterVirat Kohli600 runs this season and one of the most consistent performers in pressure matches.
Top GT BatterShubman GillOutstanding Ahmedabad record and coming off a century in Qualifier 2.
Top GT Wicket-TakerRashid KhanIdeal home conditions and a favorable matchup against RCB’s right-hand-heavy batting lineup.
Top RCB Wicket-TakerBhuvneshwar Kumar26 wickets this season and a major threat with the new ball.
Player of the MatchShubman GillExcellent knockout record and exceptional numbers at Ahmedabad.
Best Bet of the Match
Rashid Khan to Take 2+ Wickets
Ahmedabad’s dry conditions and RCB’s right-handed middle order create an ideal scenario for Rashid Khan. His ability to control the middle overs and generate breakthroughs makes a multi-wicket performance a realistic possibility. Based on venue history and matchup dynamics, this stands out as one of the strongest player-based selections.

Fantasy XI Picks – IPL 2026 Final

PlayerPick TypeReason
Shubman GillCaptainOutstanding Ahmedabad record and century in his latest knockout appearance.
Virat KohliVice-Captain600 runs this season and one of the safest fantasy selections.
B Sai SudharsanMust-HaveOrange Cap leader with remarkable consistency.
Rajat PatidarMust-Have BatterExplosive match-winner capable of producing tournament-defining innings.
Venkatesh IyerValue PickAttacking opener capable of scoring quickly in the powerplay.
Kagiso RabadaMust-Have BowlerPurple Cap contender with elite powerplay wicket-taking ability.
Bhuvneshwar KumarMust-Have BowlerNew-ball specialist and one of IPL 2026’s leading wicket-takers.
Rashid KhanDifferential PickHome conditions and favorable matchup profile.

Where to Watch RCB vs GT Live

India (TV): Star Sports 1, Star Sports 1 HD, Star Sports 1 Hindi
India (Streaming): JioHotStar App & Website
Toss Time: 7:00 PM IST
Match Start: 7:30 PM IST (2:00 PM GMT)
Venue: Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Capacity: Approximately 132,000 spectators
Fantasy Captain Pick: Shubman Gill ⭐ | Best Differential: Rashid Khan 🎯

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q1. Who will win the IPL 2026 Final today — RCB or GT?
Gujarat Titans hold a slight analytical edge at approximately 55% due to home-ground advantage, Shubman Gill’s outstanding record at Ahmedabad, and Rashid Khan bowling in conditions that suit spin. However, RCB are the defending champions and arrive in excellent form. Both outcomes remain highly realistic.
Q2. What is the pitch report for Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad?
The Ahmedabad surface has generally been balanced throughout IPL 2026. First-innings scores have typically ranged between 175 and 195, while spinners often find assistance during the middle overs. Some dew can appear later in the evening, but a score of 190+ is generally considered competitive.
Q3. What is the RCB vs GT head-to-head record in IPL 2026?
RCB lead the season rivalry 2-1. They defeated GT in Bengaluru on 24 April and again in Qualifier 1 on 26 May. GT’s only win came in Ahmedabad on 30 April. Across all IPL meetings, RCB lead the overall head-to-head record 5-4.
Q4. What time does the IPL 2026 Final start?
The IPL 2026 Final begins at 7:30 PM IST on 31 May 2026 at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad. The toss is scheduled for 7:00 PM IST. Live coverage will be available on Star Sports channels and via the JioHotStar streaming platform.
Q5. Who has the toss advantage in Ahmedabad for the IPL 2026 Final?
Ahmedabad does not offer a strong toss bias. Both batting first and chasing are viable strategies. Gujarat Titans may prefer to bat first so Rashid Khan can bowl on a drier surface during the middle overs, but overall the venue remains relatively balanced.

Data verified from ESPNcricinfo, iplt20.com official match reports. All statistics accurate as of 30 May 2026.
Author: CBT Senior Cricket Analyst

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Disclaimer: The author provides this prediction based on analysis, research, and personal opinion. This content is for informational purposes only. Use it as a guide and make your own decisions before betting or drawing conclusions.